{"id":28682,"date":"2025-12-23T11:17:06","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T10:17:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kriptomagazin.si\/?p=28682"},"modified":"2025-12-23T11:17:06","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T10:17:06","slug":"cena-bitcoina-padla-pod-88-000-dolarjev-pred-rekordno-zapadlostjo-opcij","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/cena-bitcoina-padla-pod-88-000-dolarjev-pred-rekordno-zapadlostjo-opcij\/","title":{"rendered":"Cena Bitcoina padla pod 88.000 dolarjev pred rekordno zapadlostjo opcij"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"28682\" class=\"elementor elementor-28682\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6ac44a4a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6ac44a4a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-cf7eb51\" data-id=\"cf7eb51\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-73e21c97 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"73e21c97\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Bitcoin je med ameri\u0161ko trgovalno sejo zdrsnil pod raven 88.000 ameri\u0161kih dolarjev, potem ko je v za\u010detku dneva za kratek \u010das presegel mejo 90.000 dolarjev. Negativnemu gibanju je sledil tudi Ethereum, ki se je znova spustil pod 3.000 dolarjev. Padec cen sovpada z bli\u017eajo\u010do se rekordno zapadlostjo opcij na Bitcoin in Ethereum, ki predstavlja enega najpomembnej\u0161ih dogodkov leto\u0161njega leta na trgu izvedenih finan\u010dnih instrumentov.<\/p><p>Po podatkih borze Deribit bo v petek zapadlo ve\u010d kot 28,5 milijarde dolarjev opcijskih pogodb, kar pomeni najve\u010djo zapadlost v zgodovini te platforme. Omenjeni znesek predstavlja ve\u010d kot polovico celotnega odprtega interesa Deribita, kar pove\u010duje verjetnost kratkoro\u010dne volatilnosti na trgu.<\/p><h2><strong>Trg vstopa v fazo institucionalne zrelosti<\/strong><\/h2><p>Jean-David Pequignot, glavni komercialni direktor borze Deribit, je ob tem poudaril, da leto\u0161nja zapadlost simbolizira zaklju\u010dek leta, ki ga zaznamuje vse ve\u010dja institucionalna udele\u017eba. Po njegovih besedah trg postopno prehaja iz klasi\u010dnih \u0161pekulativnih ciklov v \u0161ir\u0161i, z makroekonomskimi in regulativnimi dejavniki pogojen tr\u017eni cikel.<\/p><p>Tak\u0161en premik se odra\u017ea tudi v strukturi opcijskega trga, kjer vlagatelji vse pogosteje uporabljajo za\u0161\u010ditne strategije in kompleksnej\u0161e razpone izvr\u0161ilnih cen, namesto enostavnih stav na kratkoro\u010dno rast ali padec.<\/p><h2><strong>Raven najve\u010dje bole\u010dine in razporeditev opcij<\/strong><\/h2><p>Analitiki izpostavljajo raven 96.000 dolarjev kot tako imenovano to\u010dko najve\u010dje bole\u010dine za Bitcoin. Gre za raven, pri kateri bi imetniki opcij utrpeli najve\u010dje izgube, medtem ko bi pisci opcij dosegli najve\u010dji dobi\u010dek.<\/p><p>Opazna je tudi mo\u010dna koncentracija prodajnih opcij pri izvr\u0161ilni ceni 85.000 dolarjev, kjer je odprtega interesa za pribli\u017eno 1,2 milijarde dolarjev. V primeru pove\u010danja prodajnega pritiska bi lahko prav ta raven predstavljala pomembno kratkoro\u010dno podporo ali celo delovala kot magnet za ceno.<\/p><p>Na drugi strani ostajajo v igri tudi srednjero\u010dne in dolgoro\u010dne klicne opcije z izvr\u0161ilnimi cenami med 100.000 in 125.000 dolarjev, kar ka\u017ee, da del trga \u0161e vedno ohranja optimisti\u010dna pri\u010dakovanja glede prihodnjega gibanja cene.<\/p><h2><strong>Premik za\u0161\u010ditnih strategij v leto 2026<\/strong><\/h2><p>Namesto mno\u017ei\u010dnega zapiranja pozicij \u0161tevilni trgovci svoje za\u0161\u010ditne pozicije prena\u0161ajo v prihodnje obdobje. Opazen je premik iz decembrskih prodajnih opcij v januarske razpone, kar ka\u017ee na zavarovanje kratkoro\u010dnih tveganj ob koncu leta in hkratno previdnost glede za\u010detka leta 2026.<\/p><p>Tak\u0161no vedenje nakazuje, da trg ne pri\u010dakuje nenadnega zloma, temve\u010d ostaja pripravljen na pove\u010dano nihajnost v obdobju po zapadlosti opcij.<\/p><h2><strong>Kripto delnice delno odporne na padec cen<\/strong><\/h2><p>Kljub padcu cen Bitcoina in Ethereuma so nekatere delnice, povezane s kripto sektorjem, ohranile relativno mo\u010d. Delnice podjetja Hut 8 so posko\u010dile, potem ko je dru\u017eba sklenila dolgoro\u010dno pogodbo za najem podatkovnega centra, namenjenega umetni inteligenci. Pozitivno so se gibale tudi delnice podjetij Coinbase in Robinhood, \u010deprav so proti koncu trgovalnega dne izgubile del za\u010detnih dobi\u010dkov.<\/p><p>To ka\u017ee, da vlagatelji vse bolj lo\u010dujejo kratkoro\u010dna gibanja cen kriptovalut od temeljnih poslovnih zgodb podjetij, ki delujejo v \u0161ir\u0161em ekosistemu digitalnih sredstev.<\/p><h2><strong>Pomen trenutnega dogajanja za trg<\/strong><\/h2><p>Padec Bitcoina pod 88.000 dolarjev sam po sebi \u0161e ne pomeni spremembe dolgoro\u010dnega trenda, vendar poudarja ob\u010dutljivost trga v \u010dasu ve\u010djih zapadlosti izvedenih finan\u010dnih instrumentov. Visok odprti interes in koncentracija opcij pri klju\u010dnih ravneh ustvarjata okolje, kjer lahko \u017ee manj\u0161i cenovni premiki spro\u017eijo okrepljene reakcije.<\/p><p>Za vlagatelje to pomeni, da je razumevanje dogajanja na derivativnem trgu vse pomembnej\u0161e pri presoji kratkoro\u010dnih tveganj in dolgoro\u010dnih nalo\u017ebenih odlo\u010ditev.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6f38619 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6f38619\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f2e6eb4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"f2e6eb4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Sledite nam na socialnih 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209.25 245V327.69h-63V256h63v-54.64c0-62.15 37-96.48 93.67-96.48 27.14 0 55.52 4.84 55.52 4.84v61h-31.28c-30.8 0-40.41 19.12-40.41 38.73V256h68.78l-11 71.69h-57.78V501C413.31 482.38 504 379.78 504 256z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-instagram elementor-repeater-item-8af6857\" href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/kriptomagazin_sl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Instagram<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-instagram\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M224.1 141c-63.6 0-114.9 51.3-114.9 114.9s51.3 114.9 114.9 114.9S339 319.5 339 255.9 287.7 141 224.1 141zm0 189.6c-41.1 0-74.7-33.5-74.7-74.7s33.5-74.7 74.7-74.7 74.7 33.5 74.7 74.7-33.6 74.7-74.7 74.7zm146.4-194.3c0 14.9-12 26.8-26.8 26.8-14.9 0-26.8-12-26.8-26.8s12-26.8 26.8-26.8 26.8 12 26.8 26.8zm76.1 27.2c-1.7-35.9-9.9-67.7-36.2-93.9-26.2-26.2-58-34.4-93.9-36.2-37-2.1-147.9-2.1-184.9 0-35.8 1.7-67.6 9.9-93.9 36.1s-34.4 58-36.2 93.9c-2.1 37-2.1 147.9 0 184.9 1.7 35.9 9.9 67.7 36.2 93.9s58 34.4 93.9 36.2c37 2.1 147.9 2.1 184.9 0 35.9-1.7 67.7-9.9 93.9-36.2 26.2-26.2 34.4-58 36.2-93.9 2.1-37 2.1-147.8 0-184.8zM398.8 388c-7.8 19.6-22.9 34.7-42.6 42.6-29.5 11.7-99.5 9-132.1 9s-102.7 2.6-132.1-9c-19.6-7.8-34.7-22.9-42.6-42.6-11.7-29.5-9-99.5-9-132.1s-2.6-102.7 9-132.1c7.8-19.6 22.9-34.7 42.6-42.6 29.5-11.7 99.5-9 132.1-9s102.7-2.6 132.1 9c19.6 7.8 34.7 22.9 42.6 42.6 11.7 29.5 9 99.5 9 132.1s2.7 102.7-9 132.1z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-x-twitter elementor-repeater-item-0e6eb4c\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/kriptomagazin_\" 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64.3v383.4C0 465.5 14.3 480 31.9 480H416c17.6 0 32-14.5 32-32.3V64.3c0-17.8-14.4-32.3-32-32.3zM135.4 416H69V202.2h66.5V416zm-33.2-243c-21.3 0-38.5-17.3-38.5-38.5S80.9 96 102.2 96c21.2 0 38.5 17.3 38.5 38.5 0 21.3-17.2 38.5-38.5 38.5zm282.1 243h-66.4V312c0-24.8-.5-56.7-34.5-56.7-34.6 0-39.9 27-39.9 54.9V416h-66.4V202.2h63.7v29.2h.9c8.9-16.8 30.6-34.5 62.9-34.5 67.2 0 79.7 44.3 79.7 101.9V416z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-tiktok elementor-repeater-item-da56db4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tiktok.com\/@kriptomagazin_\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Tiktok<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-tiktok\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M448,209.91a210.06,210.06,0,0,1-122.77-39.25V349.38A162.55,162.55,0,1,1,185,188.31V278.2a74.62,74.62,0,1,0,52.23,71.18V0l88,0a121.18,121.18,0,0,0,1.86,22.17h0A122.18,122.18,0,0,0,381,102.39a121.43,121.43,0,0,0,67,20.14Z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6d5f582 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6d5f582\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin je med ameri\u0161ko trgovalno sejo zdrsnil pod raven 88.000 ameri\u0161kih dolarjev, potem ko je v za\u010detku dneva za kratek \u010das presegel mejo 90.000 dolarjev. Negativnemu gibanju je sledil tudi Ethereum, ki se je znova spustil pod 3.000 dolarjev. Padec cen sovpada z bli\u017eajo\u010do se rekordno zapadlostjo opcij na Bitcoin in Ethereum, ki predstavlja enega [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":34004,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,116],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-kripto-novice"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Cena-Bitcoina-padla-pod-88.000-dolarjev.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34004"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}