{"id":22080,"date":"2025-09-03T09:27:58","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T07:27:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kriptomagazin.si\/?p=22080"},"modified":"2025-09-03T09:27:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T07:27:58","slug":"bitcoin-v-septembru-pod-pritiskom-moznost-padca-proti-100-000-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/bitcoin-v-septembru-pod-pritiskom-moznost-padca-proti-100-000-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin v septembru pod pritiskom: mo\u017enost padca proti 100.000 USD"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"22080\" class=\"elementor elementor-22080\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6ac44a4a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6ac44a4a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-cf7eb51\" data-id=\"cf7eb51\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-73e21c97 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"73e21c97\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Bitcoin je avgusta 2025 padel za 6,5 odstotka in s tem prekinil \u0161tirimese\u010dno rast. Najve\u010dja kriptovaluta po tr\u017eni kapitalizaciji je zdrsnila pod ve\u010d klju\u010dnih podpornih ravni, kar tehni\u010dni analitiki vidijo kot za\u010detek resnej\u0161ega padca, morda celo proti meji 100.000 ameri\u0161kih dolarjev.<\/p><p>Negativni signali sovpadajo s sezonskimi vzorci, saj je september pogosto medvedji mesec za Bitcoin, dodatno \u0161ibkost trga pa potrjujejo tudi umiki sredstev iz ameri\u0161kih ETF-jev.<\/p><h2><strong>Bitcoin podira klju\u010dne podpore in izgublja zagon<\/strong><\/h2><p>V zadnjih dneh avgusta je Bitcoin prebil ve\u010d pomembnih podpornih ravni, med katerimi so:<\/p><ul style=\"color: white;\"><li>Ichimoku oblak, ki meri ravnote\u017eje med povpre\u010dnimi cenami,<\/li><li>50-dnevno in 100-dnevno preprosto drse\u010de povpre\u010dje (SMA),<\/li><li>horizontalne podpore, oblikovane okoli vrhov iz maja (111.965 USD) in decembra (109.364 USD).<\/li><\/ul><p>Ti preboji pomenijo ve\u010d kot le kratkoro\u010dne tehni\u010dne premike, saj potrjujejo, da se tr\u017eni zagon obra\u010da navzdol.<\/p><h3><strong>GMMA in MACD ka\u017eeta na obrat trenda<\/strong><\/h3><p>Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) razkriva, da so se kratkoro\u010dne eksponentne drse\u010de sredine (EMA) spustile pod dolgoro\u010dne, kar predstavlja jasen medvedji signal. Poleg tega je tedenski MACD histogram zdrsnil pod ni\u010dlo, kar ka\u017ee na preobrat iz bikovskega v medvedji trend.<\/p><p>Kombinacija teh signalov ka\u017ee na mo\u017enost nadaljnjega padca BTC, najprej proti 200-dnevnemu SMA pri okoli 101.366 USD in nato morda do psiholo\u0161ke meje 100.000 USD.<\/p><h2><strong>ETF-ji izgubili 751 milijonov dolarjev<\/strong><\/h2><p>Po podatkih analiti\u010dne platforme SoSoValue so ameri\u0161ki spot ETF-ji za Bitcoin avgusta zabele\u017eili neto odlive v vi\u0161ini 751 milijonov dolarjev. To ka\u017ee na zmanj\u0161ano zanimanje institucionalnih vlagateljev, ki so bili prej klju\u010dni gonilnik rasti cene.<\/p><p>Izguba zaupanja v ETF-produkte, ki naj bi sicer predstavljali varno in regulirano pot za vlaganje v Bitcoin, pomeni pomemben psiholo\u0161ki preobrat na trgu.<\/p><h2><strong>September ostaja naj\u0161ibkej\u0161i mesec za Bitcoin<\/strong><\/h2><p>Podatki platforme Coinglass razkrivajo, da je september statisti\u010dno naj\u0161ibkej\u0161i mesec za Bitcoin. Od leta 2013 je BTC v povpre\u010dju izgubil 3,49 % vrednosti, pri \u010demer je v osmih od zadnjih dvanajstih let zaklju\u010dil mesec z negativnim donosom.<\/p><p>Ta zgodovinska sezonskost dodatno pove\u010duje verjetnost nadaljnjega padca, saj se trg pogosto ravna po preteklih vzorcih in psiholo\u0161kih pri\u010dakovanjih vlagateljev.<\/p><h3><strong>Preboj klju\u010dnega odpora kot pogoj za bikovski obrat<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u010ce \u017eelijo biki ponovno prevzeti pobudo, morajo ceno potisniti nad zadnji lokalni vrh z 28. avgusta pri 113.510 USD. Le mo\u010dan preboj te ravni bi lahko tehni\u010dno sliko obrnil v prid pozitivnemu gibanju.<\/p><p>Za zdaj pa vsi glavni tehni\u010dni indikatorji, tako trendni kot tisti, ki merijo zagon, ostajajo v negativnem obmo\u010dju.<\/p><h2><strong>September prina\u0161a pove\u010dano tveganje za Bitcoin<\/strong><\/h2><p>Bitcoin vstopa v zgodovinsko neugoden mesec z jasno tehni\u010dno medvedjo sliko. Po \u0161tirih mesecih rasti avgustovska korekcija predstavlja ve\u010d kot le kratkoro\u010dni umik. Kombinacija tehni\u010dnih prebojev, negativnih sezonskih vzorcev in kapitalskih odlivov iz ETF-jev ka\u017ee na pove\u010dano tveganje padca cene proti 100.000 USD.<\/p><p>Institucionalni vlagatelji, trgovci in dolgoro\u010dni HODL-erji bi morali v tem obdobju gibanja spremljati z ve\u010djo previdnostjo, saj bi lahko preboj podpore pri 100.000 USD spro\u017eil \u0161e obse\u017enej\u0161i val razprodaj.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6f38619 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6f38619\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f2e6eb4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"f2e6eb4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Sledite nam na socialnih omre\u017ejih:<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b0829ca e-grid-align-left elementor-shape-rounded elementor-grid-0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-social-icons\" data-id=\"b0829ca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"social-icons.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-social-icons-wrapper elementor-grid\" role=\"list\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-facebook elementor-repeater-item-d8d211a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61574928398186\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Facebook<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-facebook\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M504 256C504 119 393 8 256 8S8 119 8 256c0 123.78 90.69 226.38 209.25 245V327.69h-63V256h63v-54.64c0-62.15 37-96.48 93.67-96.48 27.14 0 55.52 4.84 55.52 4.84v61h-31.28c-30.8 0-40.41 19.12-40.41 38.73V256h68.78l-11 71.69h-57.78V501C413.31 482.38 504 379.78 504 256z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-instagram elementor-repeater-item-8af6857\" href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/kriptomagazin_sl\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Instagram<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-instagram\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M224.1 141c-63.6 0-114.9 51.3-114.9 114.9s51.3 114.9 114.9 114.9S339 319.5 339 255.9 287.7 141 224.1 141zm0 189.6c-41.1 0-74.7-33.5-74.7-74.7s33.5-74.7 74.7-74.7 74.7 33.5 74.7 74.7-33.6 74.7-74.7 74.7zm146.4-194.3c0 14.9-12 26.8-26.8 26.8-14.9 0-26.8-12-26.8-26.8s12-26.8 26.8-26.8 26.8 12 26.8 26.8zm76.1 27.2c-1.7-35.9-9.9-67.7-36.2-93.9-26.2-26.2-58-34.4-93.9-36.2-37-2.1-147.9-2.1-184.9 0-35.8 1.7-67.6 9.9-93.9 36.1s-34.4 58-36.2 93.9c-2.1 37-2.1 147.9 0 184.9 1.7 35.9 9.9 67.7 36.2 93.9s58 34.4 93.9 36.2c37 2.1 147.9 2.1 184.9 0 35.9-1.7 67.7-9.9 93.9-36.2 26.2-26.2 34.4-58 36.2-93.9 2.1-37 2.1-147.8 0-184.8zM398.8 388c-7.8 19.6-22.9 34.7-42.6 42.6-29.5 11.7-99.5 9-132.1 9s-102.7 2.6-132.1-9c-19.6-7.8-34.7-22.9-42.6-42.6-11.7-29.5-9-99.5-9-132.1s-2.6-102.7 9-132.1c7.8-19.6 22.9-34.7 42.6-42.6 29.5-11.7 99.5-9 132.1-9s102.7-2.6 132.1 9c19.6 7.8 34.7 22.9 42.6 42.6 11.7 29.5 9 99.5 9 132.1s2.7 102.7-9 132.1z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-x-twitter elementor-repeater-item-0e6eb4c\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KriptomagazinSi\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">X-twitter<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-x-twitter\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M389.2 48h70.6L305.6 224.2 487 464H345L233.7 318.6 106.5 464H35.8L200.7 275.5 26.8 48H172.4L272.9 180.9 389.2 48zM364.4 421.8h39.1L151.1 88h-42L364.4 421.8z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-grid-item\" role=\"listitem\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-social-icon elementor-social-icon-linkedin elementor-repeater-item-02f091a\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/kriptomagazin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Linkedin<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-linkedin\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M416 32H31.9C14.3 32 0 46.5 0 64.3v383.4C0 465.5 14.3 480 31.9 480H416c17.6 0 32-14.5 32-32.3V64.3c0-17.8-14.4-32.3-32-32.3zM135.4 416H69V202.2h66.5V416zm-33.2-243c-21.3 0-38.5-17.3-38.5-38.5S80.9 96 102.2 96c21.2 0 38.5 17.3 38.5 38.5 0 21.3-17.2 38.5-38.5 38.5zm282.1 243h-66.4V312c0-24.8-.5-56.7-34.5-56.7-34.6 0-39.9 27-39.9 54.9V416h-66.4V202.2h63.7v29.2h.9c8.9-16.8 30.6-34.5 62.9-34.5 67.2 0 79.7 44.3 79.7 101.9V416z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin je avgusta 2025 padel za 6,5 odstotka in s tem prekinil \u0161tirimese\u010dno rast. Najve\u010dja kriptovaluta po tr\u017eni kapitalizaciji je zdrsnila pod ve\u010d klju\u010dnih podpornih ravni, kar tehni\u010dni analitiki vidijo kot za\u010detek resnej\u0161ega padca, morda celo proti meji 100.000 ameri\u0161kih dolarjev. Negativni signali sovpadajo s sezonskimi vzorci, saj je september pogosto medvedji mesec za Bitcoin, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":33724,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,116],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-kripto-novice"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/NASLOVNA-SLIKA-NOVICE-2025-09-03T091402.403.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22080"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22080\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}