{"id":20739,"date":"2025-07-29T10:03:06","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T08:03:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kriptomagazin.si\/?p=20739"},"modified":"2025-07-29T10:03:06","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T08:03:06","slug":"ray-dalio-svetuje-do-15-odstotkov-portfelja-v-bitcoin-ali-zlato-zaradi-dolzniske-krize-zda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/ray-dalio-svetuje-do-15-odstotkov-portfelja-v-bitcoin-ali-zlato-zaradi-dolzniske-krize-zda\/","title":{"rendered":"Ray Dalio svetuje do 15 odstotkov portfelja v Bitcoin ali zlato zaradi dol\u017eni\u0161ke krize ZDA"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"20739\" class=\"elementor elementor-20739\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6ac44a4a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6ac44a4a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-cf7eb51\" data-id=\"cf7eb51\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-73e21c97 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"73e21c97\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Ray Dalio, ustanovitelj investicijskega velikana Bridgewater Associates, je v nedavnem pogovoru v podkastu Master Investor podal pomembno nalo\u017ebeno priporo\u010dilo: vlagateljem svetuje, naj 15 % svojega portfelja namenijo Bitcoinu ali zlatu kot za\u0161\u010diti pred hitro rasto\u010do zadol\u017eenostjo ZDA in razvrednotenjem fiat valut.<\/p><h2><strong>Od 1 % do 15 %: sprememba stali\u0161\u010da zaradi fiskalnega razpada<\/strong><\/h2><p>Dalio je leta 2022 priporo\u010dal le 1\u20132 % izpostavljenost v Bitcoinu, a se je njegovo stali\u0161\u010de o\u010ditno zaostrilo. Kot je pojasnil, bi morala optimalna struktura portfelja v trenutnih razmerah vklju\u010devati ve\u010djo te\u017eo sredstev za ohranjanje vrednosti, saj se ZDA pribli\u017eujejo fiskalnemu robu.<\/p><p>Samo v naslednjem letu naj bi po njegovih ocenah ameri\u0161ko finan\u010dno ministrstvo izdalo dodatnih 12 bilijonov USD dr\u017eavnih obveznic za servisiranje dr\u017eavnega dolga, ki trenutno zna\u0161a kar 36,7 bilijona USD.<\/p><h2><strong>Bitcoin kot diverzifikator, a \u0161e vedno zadr\u017eanost glede njegove rezervne vloge<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u010ceprav Dalio priznava, da ima \u00bbnekoliko Bitcoina\u00ab, \u0161e vedno daje prednost zlatu kot bolj preizku\u0161enemu hranilcu vrednosti. Opozoril je tudi na pomanjkanje zasebnosti na blockchainu in morebitna tveganja na ravni programske kode, kar po njegovem zmanj\u0161uje verjetnost, da bi Bitcoin postal uradna rezervna valuta.<\/p><p>&#8220;Vladam je jasno, kdo izvaja katere transakcije,&#8221; je dejal Dalio in dodal, da je to v nasprotju z osnovno idejo o anonimnosti denarja. Kljub temu pa priznava, da Bitcoin in zlato slu\u017eita kot u\u010dinkovita diverzifikatorja v \u010dasu, ko fiat valute izgubljajo vrednost glede na trda sredstva.<\/p><h2><strong>Makroekonomski kontekst potrjuje njegovo analizo<\/strong><\/h2><p>Zadnje poro\u010dilo ameri\u0161kega finan\u010dnega ministrstva potrjuje Dalievo napoved: v tretjem \u010detrtletju 2025 bo treba najeti 1 bilijon USD novega dolga, kar je skoraj 500 milijard ve\u010d od prvotnih ocen. \u010cetrto \u010detrtletje prina\u0161a dodatnih 590 milijard USD zadol\u017eevanja.<\/p><p>Vzporedno z rastjo dolga raste tudi zanimanje za alternativna sredstva. Bitcoin je v zadnjih mesecih dosegel vrhove blizu 123.000 USD, zlato pa je prav tako ve\u010dkrat preseglo svoje prej\u0161nje rekorde.<\/p><h2><strong>Opozorilo Raya Dalia: premi\u0161ljeno za\u0161\u010ditite svoj portfelj<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u010ceprav Ray Dalio \u0161e naprej ostaja zadr\u017ean do Bitcoina kot potencialne rezervne valute, njegovo priporo\u010dilo za 15-odstotno izpostavljenost jasno ka\u017ee, da digitalna sredstva dobivajo mesto v sodobnih portfeljskih strategijah. Kombinacija zlata in Bitcoina lahko, po njegovem mnenju, ponudi uravnote\u017eeno razmerje med donosnostjo in tveganjem v \u010dasu, ko se zaupanje v fiat sisteme zmanj\u0161uje.<\/p><p>Tudi vlagatelji, ki tradicionalno niso naklonjeni kripto sredstvom, bi po Dalievih besedah morali razmisliti o vsaj delni izpostavljenosti \u2013 zlasti v lu\u010di dolgoro\u010dnih fiskalnih pritiskov, ki ne zadevajo le ZDA, temve\u010d tudi druge zahodne ekonomije.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6f38619 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6f38619\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f2e6eb4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"f2e6eb4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 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pred hitro rasto\u010do zadol\u017eenostjo ZDA in razvrednotenjem fiat valut. Od 1 % do 15 %: sprememba stali\u0161\u010da zaradi fiskalnega razpada Dalio je leta [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":33537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_theme","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[111,116],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-kripto-novice"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/NASLOVNA-SLIKA-NOVICE-42.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20739"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20739\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/testnamag.si\/staging\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}